The
year 2008 will go down in the history books
as the year of extremes. Commodity prices
and the stock market started the year with
great expectations and robust demand. But
once the Summer Olympics in China came to
a close, things changed drastically.
Corn
prices are down $4.40 per bushel from the
June highs, soybeans down $8.00 per bushel
and hard wheat down $5.00 per bushel. Demand
for U.S. commodities has dropped off dramatically
with the strengthening dollar. Feed wheat
from the Black Sea region is competing with
corn for feed rations world-wide.
The
trend did little to change this week. Quoting
from today’s Wall Street Journal,
“The Dow is off 47 percent from last
year’s record, its heaviest decline
since the bear market of 1937-1938 when
it fell 49 percent. It is down 43 percent
for the year so far. If it doesn’t
improve, that would make this the second-worst
yearly pullback since it was launched in
1896. The worst was 1931, when it fell 53
percent.”
World
demand has slowed due to credit concerns
and uncertainty of the future. Most buyers
are only buying product for near-by needs,
waiting to see if prices fall as time passes.
Currently, there are more than 600 manufacturing
plants in China sitting idle. Deflation
seems to be the new description of our economy
– just the opposite of six months
ago.
And
this week, ethanol captured a lot of attention
with plant closings and bankruptcy filings.
With the price of crude dropping, gasoline
for the first time in recent history was
cheaper than ethanol by 50 cents per gallon.
Volatility
is the only sure thing in today’s
environment. It’s like the weather
in the Midwest -- if you don’t like
what you have currently, wait a bit and
it will change.
Price
Changes This Week |
| Corn |
Down
37 c/bu |
| Soybeans |
Down
50 c/bu |
| Hard
wheat |
Down
40 c/bu |
| Spring
wheat |
Down
50 c/bu |
| Milk |
Up
75 c/cwt |
| Hogs |
Up
80 c/cwt |
| Cattle |
Down
$6/cwt |
| Crude |
Down
$9/bl |
| Dow
Jones |
Down
1300 pts |
| Gold |
Up
$65/oz |
|